June 15, 2021

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USGS Releases Updated Earthquake Forecast For Puerto Rico | PRESENT

The United States Geological Survey (USGS) published an update of the forecast of possible aftershocks for the next month for the Island.

This, amid new earthquakes that have been registered in the zone in the southern region of the country.

Since the earthquake of January 7, 1,350 aftershocks of magnitude 3 or greater have been recorded, while 14 aftershocks of magnitude 5 or greater have been felt.

The USGS reported in its More recent forecast than in the next weeks could be reported between 13 to 130 aftershocks of magnitude 3.0 or greater. The probability of an earthquake of magnitude 3.0 or greater remains at 99%.

Similarly, the possibility of an earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or greater was reduced to 20% for the same period.

In the event of an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or greater, the probability is 2% and the USGS forecasts 0 to 1 with this magnitude. While the chance of one of 7.0 or greater is 1 in 600.

Meanwhile, the USGS recalled that “no one can predict the exact time or place of an earthquake, including aftershocks. Our earthquake forecasts give us an idea of ​​the possibilities of having more earthquakes within a certain period of time in the affected area. ”

The scientific agency uses a statistical analysis based on past earthquakes to calculate this forecast.

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